ABP Network-C Voter Survey Presents the Second Opinion Poll for Southern Regions
ABP Network-C Voter Survey Presents the Second Opinion Poll for Southern Regions
• 41.4% vote share for UPA and 28.6% vote share for NDA in Tamil Nadu
• The survey predicts big gains for LDF in Kerala with 40.1% vote share
Noida, 27th February 2021: As the Election Commission of India (ECI) announced the poll schedule for West Bengal, Assam, Kerala, Tamil Nadu, and Puducherry Assembly elections 2021, ABP Network released the findings of its final opinion poll survey across the three regions. Along with research partner C-Voter (Centre for Voting Opinion & Trends in Election Research), the network conducted opinion poll surveys to provide a clearer picture of how the ballot game stands in these regions.
ABP Network had recently conducted the first round of opinion poll for the five states in January, wherein UPA was leading in Tamil Nadu, LDF in Kerala, and NDA in Puducherry. What’s more is that, these opinion polls mark the beginning of ABP Network’s reign in the southern region as the network is soon likely to enter the Tamil Nadu market.
The ABP Network-C Voter survey has revealed that as per public opinion, UPA is leading in Tamil Nadu with 41.4% vote share (154 to 162 seats), whereas NDA stands second with 28.6% vote share (58 to 66 seats). When asked in the survey, ‘Who is the most suitable CM candidate for Tamil Nadu’, Mr. M.K Stalin was leading with 39.4% votes, whereas E. K. Palaniswami was the second most popular choice of the people with 32.1 %.
Tamil Nadu - Projected Range Of Seats
Alliance Seats : TamilNadu From To
UPA (DMK+Congress+Others) 154 To 162
NDA (AIADMK+BJP+Others) 58 To 66
MNM 2 To 6
AMMK 1 To 5
Others 5 To 9
Total 234
Tamil Nadu - Party Alliance Votes(%)
Alliance Votes : TamilNadu 2016 Results 2021 Projection Swing
UPA (DMK+Congress+Others) 39.4 41.4 2.0
NDA (AIADMK+BJP+Others) 43.7 28.6 -15.1
MNM 0.0 8.3 8.3
AMMK 0.0 6.9 6.9
Others 16.9 14.8 -2.1
Total 100.0 100.0 0.0
In Puducherry, NDA is leading with 45.8% vote share, followed by UPA with 36.2% vote share. Moreover, Mr. N. Rangaswamy was seen to be the most desirable CM candidate in the state with 45.8% votes, according to the survey.
Puducherry – Projected Range Of Seats
Alliance Seats : Puducherry From To
SDA (Congress+DMK) 8 To 12
NDA (AINRC+BJP+ADMK) 17 To 21
MNM 0 To 1
Others 1 To 2
Total 30
Puducherry – Party Alliance Votes (%)
Alliance Votes : Puducherry 2016 Results 2021 Projection Swing
Congress+ 39.5 36.2 -3.3
NDA (AINRC+BJP+ADMK) 30.5 45.8 15.3
MNM 0.0 3.5 3.5
Others 30.0 14.5 -15.5
Total 100.0 100.0 0.0
In Kerala, LDF is leading with 40.1% vote share, followed by UDF with 32.6% vote share. In the list of most popular CM candidates, Mr. Pinarayi Vijayan topped the list with 38.5% votes, and Mr. Oomen Chandy was the second most popular choice with 27.0%.
Kerala - Party Alliance Votes (%)
Alliance Votes : Kerala 2016 Results 2021 Projection Swing
LDF 43.5 40.1 -3.4
UDF 38.8 32.6 -6.2
BJP 14.9 12.7 -2.2
Others 2.8 14.6 11.8
Total 100.0 100.0 0.0
Kerala - Projected Range Of Seats
Alliance Seats : Kerala From To
LDF 83 to 91
UDF 47 to 55
BJP 0 to 2
Others 0 To 2
Total 140
Methodology
As for the methodology and survey details, the C-Voter survey reached out to a total of approximately 8796+ people in Kerala, 1647 + people in Puducherry, 16457+ people in Tamil Nadu. It was conducted through CATI (Telephonic survey).
About ABP Network
An innovative media and content creation company, ABP Network is a credible voice in the broadcast & digital sphere, with a multi-language portfolio of news channels reaching 535 million individuals in India. ABP Studios, which comes under the purview of ABP Creations – the content innovation arm of the network – creates, produces, and licenses original, path-breaking content outside of news. ABP Network is a group entity of ABP, which was incorporated almost 100 years ago and continues to reign as a leading Indian Media Conglomerate.
